Energy emissions will fall by 2025, but very slowly.
The
Global
Carbon Project predicts that the world will surpass the 1.5*C warming benchmark within the next nine years at the current rate of emissions seen in 2022.
The global carbon budget must be monitored closely to keep warming under this level.
The International Energy Agency's report on electricity emissions estimates a decline in emissions by 2025 due to increased adoption of renewable and nuclear sources.
Electricity
generation added 13.21 Gt of CO2 in 2022, a 1313% increase from 2021.
Europe
and the Americas will reduce their coal and gas electricity generation, but global decline will be minimal as other regions increase generation from dirty sources.
Climate crises can impact generation from non-fossil sources, as seen with decreased hydropower generation during droughts.
Renewable sources require investment in grids for effective use due to their less stable nature.
Investment in transmission and distribution must be more than doubled to support the effective use of renewable sources.
Late adoption of renewable sources can hinder the transition towards cleaner energy sources.
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